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3 To 6 Inches Of Snow Accumulation Is Expected Sunday Night Into Monday: It looks quite likely that Western and Central Mass will see accumulating snow that starts late Sunday afternoon and continues through all of Sunday night and into the day on Monday. A moisture packed area of low pressure is expected to develop just off of the coast of the Mid-Atlantic States on Sunday afternoon and head northeastward passing to the east of Nantucket late Sunday night. On Monday, this low pressure system is expected to head for Nova Scotia. While this type of track is a bit too far east to produce a heavy amount of snow across the area, it is expected to be just close enough to bring enough snow to plow on Sunday night into Monday. With that said, there are some flies in the ointment with this storm that could lead to both less snow than what I am forecasting right now and more snow than what I am forecasting. On one hand, it is possible that this storm could head even further east and also wait to strengthen. If this occurs, it would mean a much lighter snowfall on the order of an inch or two. On the other hand, there is the possibility that this storm could strengthen before it reaches the area near Nantucket and also strengthen more than what’s expected right now. This would lead to a heavier snowfall on the order of 6 to 10 inches of heavy, wet, sticky snow instead. Here Are My Thoughts As Of Right Now: Snow will likely overspread Western and Central Mass between 4 pm and 7 pm Sunday. The snow is then expected to continue throughout Sunday night into Monday morning. Snow should come to an end by mid morning Monday across Western Mass, however, it may continue to snow into early Monday afternoon across Central Mass before ending later Monday afternoon. As For Snow Amounts, my thinking right now is for a total of 3 to 6 inches of snow accumulation across Western and Central Mass. I think the lower end of the scale (3 inches) may occur in the Pioneer Valley of Western Mass while the upper end of the scale (closer to 5 or 6 inches) may occur in the Worcester Hills and the Berkshires where some lift and extra moisture may be produced by orographic lift. This is expected to be a wet, sticky, heavy snow with snow covered and slippery roads expected on Sunday night into Monday morning. In addition, since this is expected to be a wet snow, there is the possibility for isolated power outages in the Worcester Hills and the Berkshires where closer to 5 to 6 inches of snow is possible.


I will continue to have updates on this storm, so keep checking back!

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First, Happy New Year!!

If you love or even like snow, you are going to LOVE this outlook. If you hate snow & winter, I AM SORRY!!

There are strong indicators in the overall weather pattern that point towards one that is favorable for fairly frequent snowfalls across the region, especially between January 15 and March 1. This pattern looks MUCH different than the last 2 winters & is more reminiscent of the 2010-11, 2014-15 and 2016-17 winters. A large upper level high pressure block is currently setting up shop over far northern Canada. This, combined, with weakening La Nina conditions will lead to a storm track that favors storms either moving up the East Coast of the United States or secondary storm development near the Cape that heads for Nova Scotia. What this means is that I think that we will probably see a string of winter storms that brings snow and/or ice to Western and Central Mass throughout January and February (yes, I know it snows in Mass during the Winter, but this looks like a particularly favorable pattern). I am really tuned in on the period between January 15 and March 1 for at least 5 storms that bring at least 5 inches of snow to the area. I also think that a couple of these storms could be significant to major winter storms. Bottom line is that it looks like I will be very busy during January and February tracking winter storms & that snow removal companies will probably be busy plowing during January and February. As I already mentioned, this looks to be a MUCH different weather pattern than what we saw last winter and looks much more like a pattern that leads to an active and busy winter.

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For This Afternoon: Generally cloudy skies are expected this afternoon with temperatures remaining in the upper 30s to low 40s. Tonight: An area of high pressure will build over New England tonight. This means that skies will become partly cloudy this evening and clear skies are expected after midnight tonight. Low temperatures tonight will be near 25 Degrees. New Year’s Day: High pressure will continue to control the weather throughout Friday with lots of sunshine expected across Western and Central Mass. High temperatures on New Year’s Day will be between 37 and 41 Degrees. Friday Night Through Saturday: One area of low pressure is expected to move from the Ohio Valley to the eastern Great Lakes on Friday night. Meanwhile, a second low pressure system is expected to form near the south coast of New Enland and head for Nova Scotia on Saturday. The combination of these two storms and some cold air remaining in place across Western and Central Mass will lead to a wide variety of wintry precipitation to overspread the area between 9 pm and midnight on Friday evening and then continue through the rest of the night on Friday night. Precipitation is then expected to gradually change to rain during Saturday morning. Here Are More Details Of What I Expect: For Areas Along & North Of Route 2, Including Fitchburg, Gardner & Orange: Snow will begin around midnight Friday night and will mix with sleet at times after midnight Friday night. A change to freezing rain is then expected by dawn Saturday morning with the freezing rain changing to all rain by late Saturday morning. Rain is then expected to continue into Saturday afternoon before ending later Saturday afternoon. Snow and sleet accumulations of 2 to 3 inches are expected across areas along and north of Route 2. In addition, ice accumulations of up to one quarter of an inch is possible. Expect very hazardous travel conditions late Friday night and Saturday morning due to the mixture of wet snow, sleet and freezing rain. Road conditions should gradually improve during Saturday afternoon. For Areas Along & North Of The Mass Pike, Including Worcester: Snow is expected to begin between 10 pm and midnight Friday evening with the snow changing to freezing rain well after midnight Friday night. The freezing rain is expected for several hours very late Friday night into early Saturday morning before changing to rain by 7 am Saturday morning. Rain is then expected throughout the day Saturday before coming to an end later Saturday afternoon. Snow accumulations of around one inch can be expected with ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch possible. Hazardous travel conditions are expected along and north of the Mass Pike during Friday night into early Saturday morning. Road conditions will improve during the day on Saturday. For Areas South Of The Mass Pike, Including Springfield: A sloppy mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain is expected to begin between 9 pm and 11 pm Friday evening. The mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain is then expected to continue for several hours after midnight Friday night with the icy precipitation changing to rain by 3 to 4 am Saturday morning. Rain is expected throughout the day on Saturday with the rain coming to an end by late Saturday afternoon. A very light glaze of ice is expected on Friday night leading to hazardous travel conditions across the area. Improving travel conditions due to above freezing temperatures are expected on Saturday. Snow Is Possible From Late Sunday Afternoon To Midday Monday: I am very closely watching the potential for a coastal storm that could bring accumulating snow to Western and Central Mass beginning later Sunday afternoon and continuing through Sunday night and Monday morning before ending around midday Monday. The uncertainty as to the exact track of this storm remains very high and it’ll probably take another couple of days to iron out a better idea of where exactly this storm may track. At this point, the range in possible scenarios are from a storm that tracks across the Cape and eastern Mass which would lead to several inches of snow across Western Mass and a few inches of snow followed by the snow mixing with rain across Central Mass TO a storm tracking near the Cape which would mean a good sized snowstorm across Central Mass and a few inches of snow across Western Mass TO a storm system that tracks well offshore which would mean a light snowfall of a couple of inches across the entire area. At this point, I think that it is quite likely that it will snow from late Sunday afternoon through Sunday night and Monday morning before ending around midday Monday. I still think that anywhere from at least a couple of inches to a few inches of snow seems most possible, but this will likely change in the next couple of days. I will continue to have frequent updates on this potential storm in the coming days, so keep checking back!

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