Coastal Storm Will Continue To Bring Showers To Western & Central Mass This Afternoon Through Tonight & Into Tuesday

An area of low pressure is currently located near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. This low pressure system is causing a chilly and wet easterly wind flow to be in place across our area.

It is expected that this easterly wind flow will remain in place across Western and Central Mass throughout this afternoon and tonight before it relents as that low pressure system begins to head away on Tuesday.

Widespread showers can be expected throughout This Afternoon & it will continue to be windy. Temperatures will hover around 50 Degrees. Winds will be Northeast at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph.

Turning to Tonight - I expect to see a continuation of the widespread shower activity this evening with the coverage of the showers becoming more scattered after midnight tonight. Low temperatures tonight will be near 45 Degrees. Winds will be Northeast at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Tuesday looks cloudy and there will be scattered showers during the morning. The shower activity looks to then come to an end during the afternoon. High temperatures will be between 50 and 55 Degrees. Winds will be North at 10 to 15 mph.

Once that low pressure system moves away, an area of high pressure looks to build into the area starting on Wednesday. This means that we should see a stretch of nice weather beginning on Wednesday and lasting right into at least part of next weekend.

Wednesday looks sunny with high temperatures near 60 Degrees.

Thursday is expected to be sunny with high temperatures near 55 Degrees.

Friday looks sunny with high temperatures near 55 Degrees.

Saturday looks sunny with high temperatures between 55 and 60 Degrees.

Sunday looks to start partly sunny, however, skies are expected to become cloudy during the afternoon as a frontal system approaches the area. This front may bring some isolated late day showers to the area. That said, the higher chances for showers may wait until Sunday night into next Monday. High temperatures Sunday will be between 60 and 65 Degrees.

Latest Update On The Coastal Storm & Its Expected Impacts On Western & Central Mass – As Of Midday Sunday

Latest On The Coastal Storm & Its Expected Impacts On Western & Central Mass: Weather analysis reveals that an area of low pressure is sitting near the North Carolina coast as of late this morning. Rain from this storm has spread as far north as the south coast of New England as of late this morning.

It is expected that rain will continue to spread northward throughout this afternoon and rain should begin across areas near and south of the Mass Pike between 2 and 4 pm. The rain then looks to spread northward across the rest of Western and Central Mass during late this afternoon & it should be raining everywhere by 6-7 pm this evening.

The winds throughout this afternoon will be Northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Temperatures during this afternoon will be in the middle 50s.

The Bulk Of The Rain & Windy Conditions Looks To Occur During Tonight & Monday: Rain is expected throughout tonight and the rain may be heavy in intensity at times. In addition, it looks like it will be windy throughout tonight with Northeast winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35-40 mph.

The rain is expected to continue throughout the day on Monday, although the steadiest of the rain looks to occur during the morning. In addition, the rain may be heavy at times in the morning. It will continue to be windy throughout the day on Monday with Northeast winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35-40 mph.

Low temperatures tonight will be near 45 Degrees. High temperatures Monday will be around 50 Degrees.

The Rain Will Become More Showery & Winds Will Gradually Decrease On Monday Night & Tuesday: It appears that the coverage of rain across the region will become more showery in nature during Monday night and Tuesday.

This means that widespread showers can be expected throughout Monday night with scattered showers expected throughout the day on Tuesday.

Winds on Monday night will be Northeast at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph. Winds on Tuesday will be North to Northeast at 10 to 20 mph.

Low temperatures Monday night will be between 40 and 45 Degrees. High temperatures Tuesday will be near 55 Degrees.

My Latest Forecast Total Rainfall Map Is Attached To This Post:

A Coastal Storm Will Bring 1 To 3 Inches Of Rain & Gusty Winds To Western & Central Mass From Sunday Afternoon Until Sometime On Tuesday

Latest On The Coastal Storm & Its Expected Impacts On Western & Central Mass: Overall, the forecast for the upcoming coastal storm hasn’t changed a whole lot since yesterday’s update. It continues to look fairly likely that this storm will bring upwards of 1 to 3 inches of rain and northeast winds that gust up to 40 mph at times beginning on Sunday afternoon and lasting until sometime on Tuesday. That being said, there is some uncertainty as to whether there will be one main low pressure system or whether there could be a double-barreled low pressure system structure. This difference is important in that if we do see a double low pressure system setup, it could lead to less rain to occur.

Current weather analysis this afternoon reveals that a low pressure system is located just offshore of the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina. This one low pressure system is expected to head northward reaching the coastal parts of North Carolina during the day on Sunday. Some of the weather forecast guidance are insisting that a second low pressure system will take shape somewhere just offshore of the New Jersey coastline by late Sunday. Other weather forecast show the one low pressure system structure that slowly climbs up the East Coast reaching southern New Jersey by Monday.

This possible double low pressure system setup has caused some real chaos in the weather guidance as they don’t quite know what to do with it. Some guidance show the further north low to pivot westward while other guidance show both lows being pulled out.

All-in-all, this continues to be a headache of a storm forecast & one that is still uncertain. This is not ideal since we are less than 24 hours away from when the rain should start falling.

My opinion remains the same and that is that the weather forecast guidance is not resolving the evolution of this storm system correctly. Instead, I think that the correct evolution is for one main low pressure center that slowly moves northward from the North Carolina on Sunday to the Mid-Atlantic coast on Monday. I then think that this low pressure system will track just to south of Long Island by Monday night and Tuesday and head out away from the East Coast after that.

What this means for Western & Central Mass is that I think that we’ll probably see rain, which will probably be heavy at times, along with northeast winds that gust up to 40 mph or so at times starting on Sunday afternoon and lasting through Monday and even into Tuesday. That being said, this is still an uncertain forecast & because of this, changes in the forecast may still occur.

Here is my latest forecast for Sunday through Tuesday based on what I’m currently expecting in terms of storm impacts on our area:

Sunday will be cloudy with rain overspreading the area from south to north during the afternoon. High temperatures will be near 55 Degrees. Winds will be East to Northeast at 10 to 15 mph in the morning and Northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.

Rain is expected throughout Sunday night and the rain may be heavy at times. In addition, it looks to be windy throughout the night on Sunday night with Northeast winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Low temperatures will be near 45 Degrees.

Rain is expected to continue throughout the day on Monday and the rain may be heavy at times. Windy conditions are also expected throughout the day on Monday. High temperatures Monday will be between 50 and 55 Degrees. Winds will be Northeast at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph.

Steady rain with windy conditions are expected to continue throughout Monday night. Low temperatures will be between 40 and 45 Degrees. Winds will be Northeast at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph.

Rain looks to continue through Tuesday morning before it comes to an end during Tuesday afternoon. High temperatures will be near 55 Degrees.

My forecast rainfall total map is attached to this post:

I continue to keep close tabs on the progress of this coastal storm and more updates will be sent out as needed.