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This Afternoon: Even though skies are currently cloudy, it is expected that we will see a decrease in clouds later this afternoon across the area. Temperatures the rest of this afternoon will be in the upper 30s to around 40 Degrees. Tonight: A weak area of high pressure will very briefly control our weather tonight. This means that skies will be partly cloudy tonight. Low temperatures tonight will be between 15 and 20 Degrees. Friday: An area of low pressure will move into Quebec, Canada during Friday and this will drag a cold front across the region. A period of snow to start with is expected on Friday morning, but this should change to rain near and south of the Mass Pike by midday Friday with a snow-rain mix expected north of the Mass Pike. During Friday afternoon, rain is expected to gradually end by mid-afternoon near and south of the Mass Pike & the rain-snow mix north of the Mass Pike will also end by mid-afternoon. Snow amounts on Friday will be very minor and should amount to a dusting to at most 1 inch across the entire area. High temperatures Friday will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. Friday Night & Saturday: That frontal system will push to our east on Friday night with a high pressure system briefly building into the area for Saturday. Friday night is expected to be generally cloudy with low temperatures between 20 and 25 Degrees. Saturday looks partly sunny with high temperatures near 30 Degrees. Possible Snow For Sunday Afternoon & Sunday Evening: There is the potential for a storm system to form near the North Carolina coast on Sunday morning and quickly head northeastward reaching Atlantic Canada by Sunday night. How close the storm moves in relation to our area will be extremely important in determining whether we miss out on this storm or whether we see a quick hitting significant snowfall of 6 to 12 inches. Comparing once again the current weather pattern to what occurred in the past reveals that at least a 3 to 6 inch snowfall is possible during Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening across Western & Central Mass. With that said, we’re still a few days away from the start of the snow & it’s equally as possible that nothing falls on Sunday. My Thinking Is That snow will begin across the entire area around midday Sunday and continue through Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening before ending by midnight Sunday night. My current thinking is for about 3 to 6 inches of snow to accumulate across Western & Central Mass. This is expected to be a quick hitting storm that only lasts 9 to 12 hours at the most. And Yet Another Storm To Watch For Tuesday Of Next Week: As I mentioned a couple of days ago, the weather pattern looks very active and very wintry over at least the next couple of weeks. This means that there are likely to be plenty of storms to watch in terms of potential winter impacts on our area. After Sunday, the next storm in line to watch looks to be on Tuesday of next week (February 9) as some of the weather forecast guidance is hinting at a low pressure system to pass near Southern New England bringing accumulating snow to the area. Beyond this, I’m watching with particular interest next weekend (February 13-14) as I think we could see “mischief” along an Arctic boundary that will be positioned off of the East Coast of the United States. Arctic boundaries are notorious for spinning up some big storms as the temperature contrast between the warm waters of the Gulf Stream collide with the Arctic air mass leading to great amounts of unstable air and energy in the atmosphere. This all means that I think that we could very well see a snowstorm on the East Coast next weekend that could impact our area perhaps around next Sunday (February 14).

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This Afternoon: A double barreled low pressure system sits to the southeast of Nantucket this afternoon. This storm system is expected to move away very slowly over the next 24 hours. This means that areas of drizzle and intermittent very light snow is expected to continue this afternoon. Temperatures will range from the mid and upper 30s in the Pioneer Valley and south of the Mass Pike to the low 30s across the Hilltowns of Western Mass and the Worcester Hills where areas of freezing drizzle is possible. Fortunately though, road temperatures are now above freezing and most roads now have been treated, therefore, slippery roads are not expected. Tonight: Any leftover snow shower or freezing drizzle activity will end this evening. Skies will remain cloudy after midnight tonight. Low temperatures tonight will be near 25 Degrees. Wednesday & Wednesday Night: An upper level low pressure system will be centered over New England on Wednesday. Moisture rotating around this upper level low may lead to some snow shower activity during Wednesday afternoon, especially across Central Mass. High temperatures Wednesday will be between 30 and 35 Degrees. Wednesday night looks cloudy with low temperatures between 20 and 25 Degrees. Thursday: An area of high pressure will begin to build into the area on Thursday. This means that skies on Thursday will be partly sunny with high temperatures near 35 Degrees. Friday: It appears that a frontal boundary will push across the area during Friday. It appears that there will be enough mild air around so that precipitation will fall as mostly rain along and south of the Mass Pike and a rain-snow mix north of the Mass Pike during Friday afternoon. The rain or rain-snow mix will come to an end during Friday evening. High temperatures Friday will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. A Storm To Really Watch For Sunday: It appears that another coastal storm could bring another round of accumulating snow to Western and Central Mass on Sunday. There is the possibility that a low pressure system could form near the North Carolina and Virginia coast on Sunday morning and head northeastward. The exact track of this storm system in relation to Southern New England will be crucial in determining whether we miss out on this storm or whether we see another significant snowfall. Comparing the current weather pattern to what occurred in the past reveals that at least a 3 to 6 inch snowfall is possible on Sunday across Western and Central Mass. My Thinking Is That snow will begin across the entire area around midday Sunday and continue through Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening before ending around midnight Sunday night. My initial thoughts are for AT LEAST 3 to 6 inches of snow accumulation across all of Western and Central Mass. Looking Ahead To Next Week – The weather pattern looks quite cold and very active across the eastern United States throughout next week. This means that there are going to be even more storms to watch in terms of accumulating snow next week. In particular, I’m eyeing around next Wednesday (February 10) for a snowfall threat and then again next weekend (February 13-14). All-in-all, my interpretation of the data is that we are really going to be building a snow pack over at least the next couple of weeks and that February could end up with above average snowfall with overall below average temperatures.

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A Significant Winter Storm Is Expected To Impact Western & Especially Central Mass Throughout Monday & Monday Night With Snow Lasting Into Tuesday. Low pressure is expected to track very slowly from near the Virginia coast late tonight and Monday morning to near Nantucket by Tuesday. This track would put the heaviest snow accumulations right into central and eastern Worcester County. Snow is expected to begin across areas along and south of the Mass Pike between 6 and 8 am Monday morning. North of the Mass Pike, snow is expected to begin between 8 and 10 am Monday morning. The snow will become moderate to heavy at times between about 1 and 3 pm Monday afternoon. This means that heavy snow with 1 to 2 inch per hour snow rates is likely during the Monday evening commute, especially across Central Mass. Heavy snow with up to 2 inch per hour snowfall rates is likely to continue across primarily Central Mass throughout Monday evening and this means that the snow totals are likely to add up quickly across a large part of Central Mass. The snow is expected to lighten up in intensity after midnight Monday night with intermittent light snow expected during Tuesday. For Western Mass, it appears that the downsloping winds off of the Worcester Hills will lead to a snow hole of sorts in the Pioneer Valley. So, while Central Mass will see double digit snow totals, the Pioneer Valley looks to end up with amounts that range from 6 inches in the upper Pioneer Valley to 8 inches in the lower Pioneer Valley. Our forecast snow total map is attached to this post. This is expected to be a fairly wet and heavy snow, so please use extreme care when shoveling and snow blowing. In addition to the snow, north to northeast winds are expected to gust up to 30 to 40 mph at times throughout Monday and Monday night. These gusty winds will lead to blowing and drifting of the snow.


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