For Tonight: Overnight and early Tuesday morning showers and thunderstorms look likely across much of the area as a cold front pushes through the area.
An area of thunderstorms, some strong to severe, is currently pushing eastward into central New York State at the time of this writing. It is expected that these thunderstorms should mainly impact areas north of the Mass Pike between about 9-10 pm and 2 am. Heavy downpours and lightning will likely be the main threats with these storms as they should be on a weakening trend at that point.
Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected to push into the entire area by about 4-5 am or so Tuesday morning and will continue through sunrise Tuesday morning.
It will be humid tonight with low temperatures between 65 and 70 Degrees. Winds will be Southwest at 8 to 16 mph.
Tuesday: Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected to continue for a few hours Tuesday morning before they come to an end during the mid and late morning hours.
Skies then remain cloudy during the afternoon and there may be some isolated shower activity around, especially in the Berkshires and the northern Worcester Hills.
High temperatures will be between 70 and 75 Degrees. Winds will be Northeast at 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night & Wednesday: It looks like a round of widespread showers and thunderstorms with heavy downpours and the possibility of flooding if there is training of heavy showers and storms over the same areas.
Tuesday night looks to start out fairly dry, but cloudy.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are then expected to overspread the entire area during the after midnight hours of Tuesday night and then continue through the entire day on Wednesday. Rainfall totals of around one inch with local amounts of up to 2 inches look likely.
Low temperatures Tuesday night will be between 55 and 60 Degrees. High temperatures Wednesday will be near 70 Degrees. Winds on Tuesday night and Wednesday will be East to Northeast at 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday: A brief break in the dry weather looks possible during Thursday with partly sunny skies expected. High temperatures will be near 75 Degrees.
Friday Through The Weekend: What happens with Tropical Storm Debby which is now pushing across north Florida and southern Georgia is going to be extremely important in determining what our weather is like this coming weekend.
It looks likely that Debby will slow way down in forward speed and meander near the South Carolina coast around the middle part of this week and then move inland around Thursday near Myrtle Beach as probably a hurricane. The question then becomes whether the upper level wind flow pulls Debby due north towards our area or if it turns the storm more to the northeast leading to a close brush instead.
A track due north into our area would mean the likelihood of A LOT of rain to occur beginning on Friday and continuing through Saturday and possibly Sunday. What do I mean by a lot of rain? There is the possibility for widespread rain totals of 3 to 6 inches to occur if the remnants of Debby moves right over our area. This would lead to big time problems in terms of flooding (both flash flooding and river/stream flooding) across the entire area. If that wasn’t enough, a track like this would open up the possibility of embedded strong to severe thunderstorms that could spawn isolated short-lived spin-up tornadoes.
On the other hand, a track to the northeast and a brush with the area would lead to most of the rain occurring over the Cape and our area mostly seeing some scattered showers on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
My Thoughts Are That the upper level wind flow should be such that the remnants of Debby will take the more inland track right into our area. Because of this, I urge everyone to check back often for my weather updates on the late week and weekend forecast and how the remnants of Debby will affect our area.
Comments