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For The Rest Of This Afternoon: Lots of sunshine can be expected throughout the rest of this afternoon. Temperatures will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. Winds will be become East at 5 to 10 mph.


Tonight & Monday Morning: We are watching the progress of two low pressure systems that will affect the weather from late tonight into Monday morning.


The first low pressure system is expected to track off of the North Carolina coast late today. This low pressure system will then pass well to the south of Southern New England by Monday morning. This storm system will be way too far to our south to give us any sort of appreciable snowfall.


The second low pressure system is expected to track across central and northern New England during Monday morning.


It appears that a trough of low pressure will set up and connect these two low pressure systems leading to a little bit of light snow to affect the entire area from late tonight until about mid-morning Monday.


Some intermittent light snow looks to begin across Western and Central Mass just after midnight tonight. This intermittent light snow then looks to continue through sunrise Monday morning before coming to an end by mid-morning Monday.


Any snow accumulations from late tonight until mid-morning Monday will be on the order of a dusting to perhaps about one-half of an inch of snow at the very most. This means that very little in the way of impacts are expected across the entire area & any snow accumulations will occur on vehicles and other non-pavement surfaces.


Monday Afternoon Through Tuesday: Cloudy skies are expected during Monday afternoon with high temperatures between 34 and 39 Degrees. Winds will be East at around 5 mph.


A weak weather disturbance looks to cross the region during late Monday night and Tuesday morning. This weather disturbance looks to produce some scattered snow showers across the region from just after midnight Monday night until about mid-morning Tuesday. Any snow accumulations from the snow showers will be between a dusting to perhaps one-half of an inch or so.


Once the snow showers end by mid-morning Tuesday, skies will remain cloudy through Tuesday afternoon.


Low temperatures Monday night will be around 25 Degrees. High temperatures Tuesday will be around 40 Degrees.


Winds on Monday night will be West to Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Winds on Tuesday will be Southwest at around 10 mph.


Active Weather Pattern Looks To Set Up From Wednesday Through Next Weekend: As I mentioned a couple of days ago it appears that an active weather pattern will set up across our area beginning on Wednesday and continuing through next weekend.


The cause for this active weather pattern will be a sharp temperature boundary that’s expected to set up over Southern New England. To the north of this boundary will be some pretty cold temperatures found across northern New England and southern Canada. To the south of this boundary will be some pretty warm temperatures across the Mid-Atlantic States and the Southeastern US.


Multiple low pressure systems are expected to track along this temperature boundary & the exact timing of the passing of each low pressure system will make for an overall uncertain forecast from Wednesday through next weekend. One thing that seems likely though is that our area will be stuck right in the middle of a battle zone leading to threats for stormy weather during the middle and later parts of this week as well as during next weekend. That said, it should be emphasized that there will not be continuous precipitation from Wednesday through next Sunday & that there will be some periods of dry weather in-between each individual weather system.


The first low pressure system looks to affect the region during the day on Wednesday. The air mass during the day on Wednesday looks to be very borderline & because of this, there are uncertainties as to whether we will see more snow than rain with this first system. I could easily foresee a scenario where more rain than snow will occur during Wednesday across the Pioneer Valley of Western Mass & across areas near and south of the Mass Pike. For areas north of the Mass Pike & especially across the northern Worcester Hills, the precipitation type could end up being mostly all snow. Given the uncertainties with the forecast on Wednesday, I will be watching it extremely closely.


The second low pressure system is currently expected to affect the region from about later Friday afternoon through Saturday. This second storm will also need to be watched very closely as the temperature profile across the region will be very marginal & thus I could foresee a scenario where mostly all snow occurs in the Worcester Hills and the Berkshires & a messy mixture of snow, ice and rain occurs south of the Mass Pike and across the Pioneer Valley of Western Mass.


And there may even be a third storm system to keep an eye on for around next Monday, February 23. This third storm could have a little more cold air available & thus could produce more in the way of a snow threat.

 
 
 

For Tonight: The cloud cover and occasional snow flurries that we’re seeing this afternoon will give way to partly cloudy skies by this evening. Partly cloudy skies are then expected throughout the overnight hours of tonight.


Low temperatures will be around 20 Degrees. Winds will be West at around 10 mph.


Sunday: Sunny to partly sunny skies are expected throughout the day on Sunday. High temperatures will be around 35 Degrees. Winds will be North to Northwest at around 10 mph in the morning and South to Southeast at around 5 mph in the afternoon.


Some Light Snow May Occur During Late Sunday Night Into Monday Morning: While a significant snowstorm is not expected across the area, it appears that a storm system tracking to the south of New England may come close enough to give us some light snow late Sunday night into Monday morning.


It is expected that an area of low pressure will track off of the North Carolina coast by Sunday evening. This low pressure system will head towards the northeast as it’s guided by the southern branch of the jet stream.


What has changed over the past 12-24 hours or so is that even though the northern and southern branches of the jet stream probably will not fully phase, they have trended towards a scenario where the northern branch of the jet stream may be dynamic enough & dig far enough south to at least partially pull that low pressure system far enough north so that at least some light snow will occur across Western and Central Mass during late Sunday night and Monday morning.


Because of these changes in the track of this low pressure system, we are now going to have to keep a close eye on the possibility of the shield of steady snow pushing further north than what is currently forecast. At this time, it appears that the steady accumulating snow may push as far north as areas from southern Connecticut & far southern Rhode Island southward through New York City, Long Island, eastern Pennsylvania and much of New Jersey.


For our area to see enough snow accumulation to plow, we are going to have to see both the northern and southern branches of jet stream to fully phase causing that low pressure system to track much closer to Southern New England. At this point, I don’t see this happening, but it’s something that I will be keeping an eye on, just in case.


My Thinking Is That we’ll see intermittent very light snow across areas north of the Mass Pike late Sunday night into Monday morning with a dusting at most in terms of snow accumulation. For areas near and south of the Mass Pike, periods of light snow look possible late Sunday night into Monday morning that could lead to a dusting to perhaps up to one inch of snow accumulation.


Even though I’m not expecting really anything here across the area, I am still going to keep very close tabs on this storm, just in case we do see any more shifts northward in the track of the storm.

 
 
 

For Tonight & Saturday: A weak frontal system is expected to cross the region during late tonight and early Saturday morning. It still looks like the amount of moisture associated with this front will be very limited. That said, there may be just enough lift and forcing to produce some scattered snow showers during the predawn hours of Saturday morning. Any scattered snow showers should move out of the area by about sunrise Saturday morning. Any snow accumulations with any widely scattered snow showers should be limited to a dusting of snow.


Low temperatures tonight will be between 15 and 20 Degrees. Winds tonight will be West at around 10 mph.


Skies during the day on Saturday look to be a mixture of sunshine and clouds. High temperatures will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. Winds will be West at around 10 mph.


Sunday: Skies during the day on Sunday look sunny to partly sunny with high temperatures around 35 Degrees. Winds will be North to Northwest at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and South to Southeast at around 5 mph in the afternoon.


An Ocean Storm System Is Expected To Miss Us On Sunday Night & Monday: It appears quite likely now that an area of low pressure pushing off of the North Carolina coast Sunday night will travel out to sea well south of New England. This means that in all likelihood, no impacts in the way of winter weather will occur with this low pressure system. This is great news for those of you that are sick of the snow.


One thing that we might need to watch is an upper level disturbance that’ll be traveling along the northern branch of the jet stream. At this point, it looks as though this disturbance will cross northern and central New England during Sunday night and Monday morning. It’s possible that this disturbance could produce a bit of light snow very late Sunday night into the first parts of Monday morning. Should we see any light snow with this northern disturbance, it would produce perhaps an inch or two or so of snow.


This means that the forecast looks like this:


Skies will become cloudy during Sunday evening & there’s the possibility for a bit of light snow to occur during the predawn hours of Monday morning. Low temperatures will be near 20 Degrees.


Monday looks cloudy with a bit of light snow during the first half of the morning. High temperatures will be near 40 Degrees.


Tuesday: Tuesday could end up being the warmest day of next week. Skies throughout the day look to be partly sunny. High temperatures will be near 45 Degrees.


Wednesday: The weather pattern looks to turn much more active again starting on Wednesday and continuing through late next week, next weekend & possibly beyond that. Our area is expected to be caught in-between some pretty warm temperatures to our south across the Mid-Atlantic & Southeastern United States & some pretty cold temperatures located over northern New England into southern Canada. This could lead to our area being right in the middle of a battle zone where there could be at least a few winter weather threats from Wednesday through late next week, next weekend and beyond that.


Now turning to Wednesday, an area of low pressure is expected to track across the region. This storm system may really need to be watched for the threat for a messy mixture of precipitation, depending on the low pressure system’s exact track. Should this storm system sneak just south of our area, it would lead to mostly all snow. On the other hand, if this storm system tracks right over our our area or just to our north, then we could be looking at snow to start with that changes to ice and then rain. It’s certainly going to be a storm to watch over the next few days.


Thursday: A generally cloudy day is expected on Thursday with high temperatures between 35 and 40 Degrees. WOULD YOU LIKE TO HELP SUPPORT ROUTE 20 WEATHER? HERE'S HOW!


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