It appears that there will be some scattered showers and thunderstorms around at times across the entire area throughout this afternoon & this evening as a frontal boundary gradually sinks southward across the region.
At the time of this post, radar imagery indicated that heavy downpours have developed over the southern Berkshires into parts of northwestern Connecticut. These heavy downpours are moving in a southeasterly direction & thus these particular downpours will not be a threat to the area.
I do think that we will see some increase in the coverage of showers and thunderstorms as the afternoon progresses with most of the showers and thunderstorms occurring across areas near and south of the Mass Pike. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms are then expected to persist into this evening across the area.
It should be noted that the highest areas of unstable air are found to the southwest of our area across areas from central and southwestern Connecticut and southern and southeastern New York State southward into the Mid-Atlantic states. This is where I think most of the thunderstorm activity will occur later this afternoon and tonight. Also, this is the area where I think most of the severe weather will occur.
That being said, the atmosphere is unstable across the entire area & this means that some of the thunderstorms may be on the strong side. Any strong thunderstorms may produce gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy downpours.
I will be keeping a very close eye on things throughout this afternoon & will have updates as needed. I know many of you have outdoor plans this afternoon and this evening. My advice to you is to not cancel those plans, but at the same time, keep a close eye on the weather.
Also, those of you that you will be outdoors this afternoon & evening, I urge you to drink lots of fluids, find a shaded spot to hang out & be aware if you are getting too hot. If you do find yourself becoming too hot, find an air-conditioned spot immediately as the risk of heat exhaustion and heat stroke will be high due to the continuing heat & humidity.