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For The Rest Of Today: A weak weather disturbance will pass across northern New England this afternoon. The main effect from this system will be clouds and it seems likely that we will see lots of clouds mixed with some sunshine throughout the rest of today. In addition, a passing snow shower or two is possible late afternoon and this evening across the Berkshires and the northern Worcester Hills. High temperatures this afternoon will be near 40 Degrees. Tonight & Sunday: An area of high pressure is expected to move into the area for tonight and Sunday. Any leftover isolated snow shower activity across the northern Worcester Hills and the Berkshires will end this evening with skies becoming clear to partly cloudy after midnight tonight. Low temperatures tonight will be between 25 and 30 Degrees. Sunday is expected to be a sunny to partly sunny day with high temperatures between 40 and 45 Degrees. Very Windy & Very Mild With Showers Expected On Monday: An area of low pressure is expected to pass well west and north of our area during Monday and Monday night. This type of storm track will put Western and Central Mass in a very mild southwesterly wind flow, which will help to boost our afternoon temperatures into the 60 to 65 Degree range. In addition to the very mild temperatures, it is expected to be very windy during Monday afternoon and Monday evening with south to southwest winds gusting up to 40 to 50 mph at times. A few rain showers are expected during Monday morning with a time span of a few hours during the afternoon where it could be rain free, but still very windy and very mild with generally cloudy skies. By Monday evening, a strong cold front is expected to traverse Western and Central Mass. This cold front is likely to be accompanied by a line of heavy showers and possible thunderstorms during Monday evening, which will contain very gusty winds and a sharp drop in temperatures from the 60s to the upper 30s to low 40s by midnight. The strong cold front will push off to the east by late Monday night and this will lead to the shower activity ending by 2-3 am or so Monday night. Low temperatures by Tuesday morning will be between 25 and 30 Degrees. Tuesday: A brief break between storm systems is expected on Tuesday with sunshine and colder temperatures expected. High temperatures Tuesday will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. Plowable Amounts Of Snow Likely For Wednesday & Wednesday Night: It is looking increasingly more likely that a widespread snowfall will occur across Western and Central Mass during Wednesday and Wednesday night and it appears it’ll be enough of an accumulation to plow. A frontal system is expected to be set up near and just to the south of Southern New England by the middle part of the week. This front will act as a boundary between very mild air across the southeastern United States into the Mid-Atlantic states and some very cold air positioned across southeastern Canada and northern New England. It is expected that an area of low pressure will move along this frontal boundary during Wednesday and Wednesday night. It appears that the track of this low pressure system may be such that a mix with sleet and rain may not even occur across a majority of Western and Central Mass, but instead that the precipitation stays as all snow. Snow looks to begin across all of Western and Central Mass probably during the 8 to 10 am time frame on Wednesday morning. The snow is then expected to continue through all of Wednesday afternoon and all of Wednesday evening before the snow comes to an end after midnight Wednesday night. As For Possible Snow Accumulations – My thinking right now is for a widespread 3 to 6 inch snowfall across Western and Central Mass. Obviously, not a big snowstorm by any means, but it’ll still be enough to cause slippery roads throughout Wednesday and Wednesday night across the entire area. Also, the snow will definitely make it look much more like Christmas across the region. Nevertheless, I am keeping close tabs on both this storm and also the storm for Monday and I will have frequent updates on both as needed. Thursday: Another short break between storm systems is expected on Thursday with a mixture of sunshine and clouds expected and high temperatures near 35 Degrees. Friday To Next Sunday: It still looks like that there will be two more storms to keep an eye on for late next week and next weekend. The first storm to watch is expected for Friday as an area of low pressure pushes across central or southern New England. Temperatures could be mild enough so that even though the precipitation may start as snow on Friday morning, it could quickly change to rain during Friday afternoon and evening. A second storm system could bring more rain for late next Saturday night through next Sunday. At this point though, we’ll take things storm to storm and not get ahead of ourselves too much. Thank You: As always, I thank you for your continued support. If it were not for you, I would not be able to do a job that I love so very much – forecasting the weather for Western and Central Mass. If you have not done so already, please consider donating to help alleviate the costs required for producing these weather forecasts for Western and Central Mass. Thank you so much in advance!!

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For The Rest Of Today: A weak area of high pressure will control our weather throughout the rest of today. This means that it will be a generally sunny day, however, it will be cold and windy. Temperatures will struggle to get out of the 30s with many areas peaking at between 35 and 39 Degrees this afternoon. It will be windy throughout the rest of today with northwest winds gusting up to 35 mph at times. Tonight: Clear skies and gradually decreasing winds will lead to temperatures to bottom out at between 19 and 23 Degrees by morning. Saturday: A weak weather disturbance is expected to push across the region during the afternoon. Morning sunshine will give way to a mixture of sunshine and clouds during the afternoon. In addition, a passing snow shower or two is expected during the mid and late afternoon hours. High temperatures Saturday will be between 40 and 45 Degrees. Sunday: A sunny to partly sunny day is expected on Sunday with high temperatures between 40 and 45 Degrees. Monday: An area of low pressure and its associated frontal system will affect our area on Monday with very mild temperatures, showers and very windy conditions. A strong southerly wind flow will set up across Southern New England and this will lead to on and off showers throughout the day on Monday. In fact, there may be a few hours on Monday afternoon where the showers end and the sun may briefly appear before a cold front pushes through late in the afternoon. That cold front is likely to be accompanied by a line of heavy showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two late Monday afternoon. High temperatures Monday will be between 64 and 68 Degrees, which is some 20 degrees above average. It will be windy to even very windy, especially during Monday afternoon with southerly winds gusting up to 40 to 50 mph at times. Tuesday: A brief break between storm systems is expected on Tuesday with sunshine and colder temperatures expected. High temperatures Tuesday will be between 35 and 40 Degrees. Plowable Amounts Of Snow Possible For Wednesday & Wednesday Night: A frontal system is expected to be set up near Southern New England and this front will be the boundary between very mild air across the southeastern United States into the Mid-Atlantic states and some cold air positioned across southeastern Canada and northern New England. An area of low pressure is expected to move along this frontal system. The exact position of the frontal system and the track of the low pressure system is going to be extremely crucial in determining where the snow/rain line sets up. It should be noted that a majority of weather forecast guidance, including the Canadian model and the European model, forecasts a low pressure track to the south of New England, which would lead to upwards of 5 to 10 inches of snow accumulation across Western and Central Mass. On the other hand, the GFS weather model still insists on a track that takes the low pressure system across central and northern New England. This sort of track would mean a quick 1 to 3 inches of snow accumulation on Wednesday morning followed by a change to rain for Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. Here Are My Thoughts: It appears that there is going to be quite a bit of cold air lurking over southeastern Canada waiting for this storm system. This is very important because cold air is very dense and can be very hard to scour out. Because of this, I think that a colder and snowier forecast seems more plausible than a storm system that just pushes out the cold air and replaces it with mild temperatures and rain. My thinking at this point is for areas near and north of the Mass Pike will stay as all snow throughout Wednesday and Wednesday night with upwards of 4 to 8 inches of snow accumulation possible. Areas south of the Mass Pike may see the precipitation start as snow on Wednesday morning, but the snow may mix with sleet and rain during Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. Snow amounts across areas south of the Mass Pike may end up being more on the order of 2 to 5 inches or so. These are still preliminary early thoughts and it’s likely that this forecast will need to be refined and tuned over the next few days. I will be watching this storm extremely closely and will have frequent updates as needed. Thursday: Another short break between storm systems is expected on Thursday with a mixture of sunshine and clouds expected and high temperatures between 35 and 40 Degrees. Next Friday To Next Sunday: There may be two additional storm system to keep an eye on for late next week and next weekend. The first storm to watch is expected for next Friday as an area of low pressure pushes across central or southern New England. Temperatures could be mild enough so that even though the precipitation may start as snow on Friday morning, it could quickly change to rain during Friday afternoon and evening. A second storm system could bring more rain for next Sunday into next Monday that may actually end as some snow. At this point though, we’ll take things storm to storm and not get ahead of ourselves too much.

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For The Rest Of Today: Lots of clouds are expected across the region the rest of today. In addition, some scattered rain shower activity is expected this afternoon. Today will be the warmest day this week with high temperatures this afternoon near 55 Degrees. It will also be windy, especially this afternoon, with southwest winds gusting up to 30 to 35 mph at times. Tonight: A cold front is expected to push across the region this evening with colder air moving in after midnight. Scattered rain showers are expected this evening. Once the cold front moves through, I think that we could see some isolated snow shower activity after midnight, especially in the Berkshires and the Worcester Hills. Low temperatures tonight will be between 30 and 35 Degrees. West winds are expected to gust up to 30 to 35 mph at times. Friday: A sunny day is expected on Friday with colder temperatures and windy conditions. High temperatures Friday will be between 40 and 45 Degrees. West to northwest winds are expected to gust up to 30 to 35 mph at times. Saturday & Sunday: A weather disturbance is expected to move across northern New England. After some morning sunshine, I think that we will probably see a mixture of sunshine and clouds during the afternoon. In addition, a very isolated snow or rain shower is possible, especially in the northern Worcester Hills. High temperatures Saturday will be between 40 and 45 Degrees. Sunshine is expected on Sunday with high temperatures between 40 and 45 Degrees. Very Active & Stormy Weather Is Expected Next Week: The weather pattern still looks like it’ll be active and stormy next week with the chance for a storm system moving through roughly every other day. It appears that each of these low pressure systems will track right along a temperature gradient that delineates mild air to the south and cold air located over far northern New England and southern Canada. Storm Number One For Late Sunday Night & Monday – This looks to be mostly an all rain event as a low pressure system heads across Southern Canada. Some initial short-lived snow or freezing rain late Sunday night or early Monday morning will quickly change to rain during Monday morning with periods of rain persisting through Monday afternoon. A cold front pushes through by Monday evening and this will lead to any leftover rain showers to change to snow showers during Monday evening. What this first storm system will do is set up the table for the second storm system. This table will have cold air with it that could play a crucial role for the second storm. Storm Number Two For Late Wednesday Into Thursday Morning – An area of low pressure is expected to take a slightly further south track than storm number 1 with a track that takes it either right across Southern New England or just south of New England. This means that snow could be a big issue with the second storm with significant accumulations of snow quite possible. There are at least a couple of caveats with the snow forecast. The first is that the milder air may be close enough so that the snow could either mix with sleet and rain or change to all rain at some point during the storm. This brings us to the second caveat and that is a cold high pressure system over Atlantic Canada could try to help to lock in the cold air, so that the precipitation stays as mostly all snow. For now, the most appropriate forecast is for accumulating snow to start with beginning Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening that changes to sleet and then possibly to rain late Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Storm then comes to an end by Thursday afternoon. I think the main takeaway is that at least some snow accumulation seems quite plausible – how much has yet to be determined, but this is a storm system that merits very close watching. Storm Number Three For Very Late Thursday Night Into Friday – There may be very little in the way of a break between storm systems as a third low pressure system heads into New England. Early preliminary indications are that this storm could be another mild one with maybe a little snow and freezing rain to start with late Thursday night that quickly changes to rain during Friday. It’s still early in the ballgame for trying to figure out what the final score may be and a lot can change between now and late next week. I am keeping a very close eye on all three storms and will have frequent updates for you as needed.

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