For Tonight: Very warm and humid weather is expected across the region tonight under partly cloudy skies. I think that any thunderstorms will remain over the Berkshires, but don’t be surprised to possibly see a thunderstorm or two as far east as the I-91 corridor. Low temperatures will be near 70 Degrees. Winds will be Southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Friday: Another hot and humid day is expected for Friday under generally a mixture of sunshine and clouds. One difference with tomorrow’s weather will be the potential for a few thunderstorms from about mid-afternoon through the evening hours. Any thunderstorms will have the potential to produce some heavy downpours and perhaps some gusty winds. High temperatures will be between 85 and 90 Degrees. Winds will be South at 10 to 20 mph. This Weekend: Saturday looks warmer and more humid than Sunday. Saturday looks cloudy with some scattered showers and thunderstorms around. High temperatures will be between 80 and 85 Degrees. While Sunday looks a little cooler than Saturday, it appears that it will still be humid. In addition, expect afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms around. High temperatures will be between 75 and 80 Degrees. Monday: A frontal boundary is expected to push through during the day on Monday bringing with it another round of showers and thunderstorms. High temperatures will be between 75 and 80 Degrees. Turning To Hurricane Lee: Hurricane Lee, which is currently located over the tropical Atlantic has undergone one of the fastest, if not the fastest round of intensification that I’ve ever seen in a storm. Lee was a 80 mph hurricane early this morning with no eye visible at all. As of this evening or roughly 12 hours later, we have an extremely intense hurricane with about 160 mph winds based on the latest reconnaissance aircraft reports. If confirmed, this would make Lee a Category 5 hurricane. Satellite imagery also shows a very well defined eye. The potential track of Lee for next week concerns me a lot in terms of possible impacts here in Southern New England. By about the middle part of next week, it appears that an upper level trough of low pressure over the Great Lakes region and a high pressure ridge over the central North Atlantic should help to steer Lee to the north. The big question at that time will be where will the hurricane be located and this is going to be important for any impacts later on down the road. Some the weather forecast guidance show a storm that’s located just barely east of the Bahamas with other weather forecast guidance showing a storm that’s located just south and southwest of Bermuda by the middle part of next week. What this means is that the further west Lee is located around the middle part of next week, the higher threat it could be to all of Southern New England. On the other hand, a further east location would mean a track that would keep it well east of our area. So turn on those fans and point them east because I do not want Lee to come visiting and neither should you. I want to emphasize extremely strongly that it is WAY too soon to say with any certainty as to what the end game will be with Lee. We are still talking about impacts that may not occur for another 7 to 9 days from now. Because of this, I still wouldn’t trust any model forecast on the exact location of Lee. I also wouldn’t trust any model forecast with the placement and orientation of troughs of low pressure and ridges of high pressures this far out. At this point though, my thinking is that we could see the center of Lee pass right over or just barely east of the Cape before heading up into Maine. Time table on this possibly occurring looks to be possibly around next Friday into next Saturday. Should this type of track occur, it would put Western and Central Mass on the much rainier side of the storm, but with the extremely wet summer we had, this would not be good news. In addition, some very gusty winds would also occur, especially over Central Mass. It should be noted that a track near or over the Cape would mean the Cape would get raked very hard, possibly. That said, I’m just “spit balling” here for now and this is just a very preliminary look at what I’m thinking. A lot will change with the forecasts around Lee and I strongly urge you to keep close tabs on the progress of this storm.
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Thanks Rob. I appreciate all you do for us out here in Central Massachusetts.
I’ve only been on the planet for 66 years, but I can’t remember a storm growing in strength so quickly. I’ve read that the hurricane of 1938 had the late season conditions similar to now. Are there any good on-line resources available to prepare for a hurricane?