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Well, you win some, you lose some when forecasting the weather & this has been a big L for me in terms of forecasting today's snow.


It has failed to snow across much of the area so far today & there are a couple of reasons for this.


The first reason is that a high pressure system located to the north of our area has caused drier air to work in from the north leading to any snow that moves into our area to essentially evaporate.


The second reason is that an area of heavier snow this morning occurred across the NYC metro & this heavier snow has robbed any energy from this weather system leading to an area of sinking air to be in place over our area.


Some very light snow is now trying to push into the area at the time of this writing & I do think that we will see on and off very light snow to occur over the next few hours. There could be a period of steady light snow that occurs during early this evening.


Because of the lack of any real steady snow with this system, snow accumulations will probably be limited to a dusting to perhaps a half an inch of snow across the region, at most.


Any light snow will come to an end towards midnight tonight.

 
 
 

For The Rest Of This Afternoon: Lots of sunshine can be expected throughout the remaining parts of this afternoon. Temperatures will be around 30 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 10 to 20 mph.


Tonight: Skies are expected to start out clear to partly cloudy this evening, but will become cloudy after midnight as a warm front begins to approach the region. Low temperatures will be near 20 Degrees. Winds will be West at 6 to 12 mph.


1 To 3 Inches Of Snow Accumulation Is Expected On Tuesday: A warm front is expected to affect the entire area during the day on Tuesday. It is still expected that our area will be on the colder side of this warm front and because of this, all snow is expected throughout much of the day on Tuesday.


Snow is expected to overspread Western Mass between about 7 and 9 am Tuesday morning and then begin across Central Mass between about 9 am and 11 am Tuesday morning. Snow is then expected to continue throughout Tuesday afternoon before it comes to an end during the early evening hours of Tuesday.


All-in-all, this continues to look like a 1 to 3 inch snowfall across the entire area. You can what I’m thinking with the forecast snowfall map attached to this post.


For those of you traveling on Tuesday or if you are going to be out and about on Tuesday, be aware that untreated roads and other surfaces will likely be slick as the snow will be wet in consistency leading to greasy surfaces. So, be careful out there on Tuesday.


High temperatures Tuesday will be in the low 30s. Winds will be Southwest at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and East at 5 to 10 mph.


Christmas Eve & Christmas Day: A windy Christmas Eve is expected under partly sunny skies. High temperatures will be around 35 Degrees. Winds will be North to Northwest at 15 to 20 mph.


Christmas Day looks cloudy with high temperatures between 35 and 40 Degrees.


Two Other Storms – One For Friday & A Second For Sunday – Need To Be Watched Closely: The immediate post Christmas weather pattern looks potentially very active as a sharp frontal boundary will separate a very cold air mass across northern New England and some downright warm temperatures over the Mid-Atlantic and southern United States. This frontal boundary looks to produce two storms that could bring wintry weather to our area. The first chance of wintry weather looks to occur on Friday and the second possibly occurring on Sunday. That being said, there remains a high amount of uncertainty to the forecast for late this week and this weekend.


First for the possible storm on Friday – The weather forecast guidance continues to be in quite a bit of disagreement with each other on how far south that frontal boundary sinks & whether the very cold air mass just to our north is able to suppress the wintry precipitation to our south or not. It’s possible that we could completely miss Friday’s winter weather event & it’s equally as possible that we see a decent winter weather event that produces both snow and ice. The forecast for Friday needs to be watched very closely & I will have more updates in the days to come.


Now, for the possible storm on Sunday – A second storm system is expected to move in close behind the first one leading to the possibility of snow and ice to occur during the day on Sunday. Since this is still some 6 days away, I don’t want to say more than snow and possible ice is in the cards for Sunday, which could definitely impact travel.

 
 
 

For The Rest Of This Afternoon: It will continue to be windy throughout the rest of this afternoon under a mixture of sunshine and clouds. Temperatures will remain in the low to mid 30s. Winds will be West to Northwest at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35-40 mph.


Tonight: A windy and cold night is expected across the entire area under clear skies. Low temperatures will be near 15 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph.


Monday: Monday looks to be a sunny to partly sunny day. High temperatures will be near 30 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.


1 To 3 Inches Of Snow Accumulation Is Expected On Tuesday: A warm front is expected to affect the entire area during the day on Tuesday. Western and Central Mass is expected to remain on the colder side of this warm front and because of this, light to moderate snow can be expected throughout much of the day on Tuesday.


Light to occasionally moderate snow is expected to overspread Western Mass by just after sunrise Tuesday morning and then begin across Central Mass by mid-morning Tuesday. The light to occasionally moderate snow looks to then continue through all of late Tuesday morning and all of Tuesday afternoon. The snow is then expected to come to an end by early Tuesday evening.


All-in-all, this is looking like a widespread 1 to 3 inch snowfall across all of Western and Central Mass.


For those of you traveling on Tuesday or if you are going to be out and about on Tuesday, be aware that untreated roads and other surfaces will likely be slick as the snow will be wet in consistency leading to greasy surfaces. So, be careful out there on Tuesday.


Additionally, Tuesday’s snowfall will guarantee a white Christmas for this year across all of Western and Central Mass as the snow that we receive on Tuesday will stick around through Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.


High temperatures Tuesday will be in the low 30s. Winds will be West at 5 to 10 mph in the morning and East at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.


Christmas Eve & Christmas Day: A windy Christmas Eve is expected under partly sunny skies. High temperatures will be around 35 Degrees.


Christmas Day looks cloudy with high temperatures near 40 Degrees.


Friday & Saturday: The weather forecast for late this coming week has a very high degree of uncertainty, both for weather and temperatures. A frontal boundary is expected to set up somewhere near the northeastern US and Mid-Atlantic states. Where this boundary sets up is going to be crucial in determining both temperatures and precipitation type on Friday.


If this boundary sets up to our south over the Mid-Atlantic states, it would lead to temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s on Friday with snow or ice. On the other hand, should this boundary sets up over our area or just to our north, it would lead to temperatures to be in the mid 40s to low 50s on Friday with rain.


For now, I’m going with an unsettled day on Friday with mixed precipitation changing to rain and high temperatures around 40 Degrees. Be aware though that, significant changes in the forecast may be needed depending on where that frontal boundary sets up in relation to our area.


Saturday looks sunny with high temperatures between 30 and 35 Degrees.

 
 
 
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