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I wanted to begin by apologizing for not posting over the last couple of weeks.

My posts on here are much less frequent during the Summer as compared to the Winter. The reason why is because I'm usually really busy forecasting tropical systems, including tropical storms and hurricanes with my business Crown Weather Services . So far this season, I've been extremely busy as the season has already gotten off to an active start. This is highly unusual as I normally do not get busy until later July and especially during August and September. This active start concerns me greatly because I'm extraordinarily concerned of how busy, destructive and dangerous the main part of the hurricane season (August and September) could be.

Anyways, onto this week's forecast for Western and Central Mass -

VERY HOT and oppressively humid weather is expected for the rest of this afternoon with temperatures in the mid to upper 90s. Heat index readings will hover around 105 Degrees.

A very warm and oppressively humid night is expected tonight with low temperatures of near 75 Degrees.

Another very hot and humid day is expected on Tuesday. One difference may be that we could see a few thunderstorms pop up during the mid and late afternoon hours. High temperatures Tuesday will be between 95 and 100 Degrees with heat index readings of 105 to 110 Degrees.

Wednesday is expected to be very hot and humid with high temperatures of around 95 Degrees and heat index readings of 105 Degrees.

A cold front is expected to push into the area during the late afternoon and evening hours bringing with it thunderstorms. Some of these storms may be on the strong to severe side.

A little cooler weather is expected for Thursday and Friday along with plenty of clouds and some scattered shower activity. High temperatures Thursday will be near 85 Degrees and high temperatures Friday will be near 75 Degrees.

Looking ahead to the Fourth of July weekend - While the weekend does not look like a washout, there will be some periods of showers at times. Right now, it looks like the greatest chances for showers will be on Saturday morning, Sunday morning and much of the day on Monday. High temperatures on Saturday, Sunday and Monday will be in the mid to upper 70s.

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Lots and lots of sunshine is expected This Afternoon across Western and Central Mass with high temperatures around 85 Degrees.

Tonight & Saturday Morning: Showers are expected to be on the increase this evening as a warm front approaches the region. Showers will then continue through the rest of the night tonight into part of Saturday morning and there may also be a rumble or two of thunder.

That warm front is expected to push north of our area by late Saturday morning and this should leave us with a few hours of sunshine, as well as very warm and humid weather. High temperatures Saturday afternoon will be near 85 Degrees.

Late Saturday Afternoon & Saturday Evening: A cold front will press eastward towards our area later Saturday afternoon. At least a couple of rounds of thunderstorms are expected from about 5 pm until about 11 pm Saturday.

At this point, I'm not expecting a widespread severe weather event across Western and Central Mass. Instead, my thinking is that we should probably see a couple of the thunderstorms reach strong to severe limits with strong wind gusts the main threat. The reason for this is that most of the thunderstorm activity is expected to arrive after the peak heating of the day and this should mitigate the severe weather threat.

With that said, I will be watching things closely and will certainly be "baby sitting" the radar looking for any signs of a earlier start time of the thunderstorms.

With the cold front well to our east, Sunday is expected to be a sunny day with lower humidity and high temperatures near 85 Degrees.

Looking towards early next week - Monday is expected to be a partly sunny, hot and humid day with high temperatures near 90 Degrees.

Turning to Tuesday - A frontal boundary pushing eastward into our area will link up with some tropical moisture from the south leading to widespread heavy showers and thunderstorms throughout the day on Tuesday.

The air mass will be very humid and moderately unstable and this means that a few of the thunderstorms are likely to be severe with strong wind gusts the main threat. In addition, heavy rainfall will be a significant concern with any of the showers and thunderstorms and we will have to watch for the urban and road flooding potential.

High temperatures Tuesday will be between 80 and 85 Degrees.

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It looks like we'll see a couple of more nice days before strong to severe thunderstorms become a threat on Saturday afternoon and evening.

Clear skies with comfortable temperatures are expected Tonight with low temperatures between 45 and 50 Degrees.

A sunny day is expected on Thursday with high temperatures between 75 and 80 Degrees.

Sunny skies are also expected on Friday, however, the humidity is likely to be on the increase. High temperatures on Friday will be between 80 and 85 Degrees.

Turning to Saturday, it appears that a rather strong cold front will push across the Northeastern United States during Saturday afternoon and evening. The dynamics and forcing with this front will be pressing into some very warm, humid and unstable air.

Saturday is expected to start out with clouds and some shower and possible thunderstorm activity during the morning. Once these showers depart, we may be left with some partly sunny skies during Saturday afternoon along with very warm and humid conditions.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are a possibility during the late afternoon and evening hours on Saturday. How severe the thunderstorms get will depend on how much sunshine and how warm and humid we get during the afternoon on Saturday.

If we remain cloudy with some modest heating (near 80 Degrees), then a couple of stronger thunderstorms would be possible late in the day.

On the other hand, if we break out in quite a bit of sunshine with temps in the upper 80s with lots of humidity, then we could have a real problem with severe weather.

For now, I think that a few strong to severe thunderstorms are a possibility with strong winds the main threat. It's something that definitely needs to be watched.

The weekend will end really nice with lots of sunshine expected on Sunday with lower humidity and high temperatures between 80 and 85 Degrees.

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