A Word About How Future Hurricane Erin Poses No Threat To Southern New England Next Week

There is already a lot of chatter about Tropical Storm Erin, which will very likely become a hurricane by tomorrow. This chatter has to do with how big of a threat it might be to the East Coast, including here in Southern New England next week.

I wanted to write this post to allay your concern (and tone down the hype) about Erin as everything that I have looked at says to me, it is more likely than not to not directly hit us here in Southern New England.

Why do I think this? The weather pattern from this weekend into next week is expected to consist of a weakening high pressure system. This high pressure system is currently steering the storm westward & once this high pressure system weakens some, it'll allow Erin to turn much more to the northwest and north during this weekend into the first half of next week. This turn to the north looks to occur offshore of the East Coast of the United States causing all of the wind, surge and heavy rain to completely miss.

Also, the weather pattern next week also looks to include westerly upper-level winds right over New England. These westerly upper-level winds are expected to help push Erin to the northeast and east-northeast once it gets to the latitude of Southern New England. This will ensure a complete miss.

The only effects I think that will occur from Erin next week will be very high surf, dangerous waves and rip currents along all of the beaches here in Southern New England. In fact, these conditions are likely to exist all along the entire East Coast throughout next week. This will make going into the ocean very hazardous.