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Sunshine Returns For Sunday & Monday & Then We Look Towards A Possible Storm From Thanksgiving Night Through Friday Across Western & Central Mass

For Tonight: Generally partly cloudy skies are expected this evening. Clear skies are then expected during the after midnight hours of tonight. In addition, it will be windy throughout tonight with wind gusts of up to 35 mph expected.


Low temperatures will be near 35 Degrees. Winds will be West to Northwest at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.


Sunday: Lots of sunshine can be expected throughout the day on Sunday and it will be quite windy with wind gusts of up to 40 mph expected.


High temperatures will be between 43 and 48 Degrees. Winds will be West at 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph.


Monday: An area of high pressure will control the weather throughout the day on Monday. This means that skies will be sunny throughout the day on Monday along with gradually diminishing winds.


High temperatures will be between 45 and 50 Degrees. Winds will be West at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the morning and West at 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.


Monday Night & Tuesday: A pretty robust cold front is expected to push across the region during the day on Tuesday. This front will bring with it widespread showers during the day on Tuesday.


Monday night will start out with clear skies during the evening. Skies will then become cloudy during the after midnight hours. Low temperatures will be near 35 Degrees. Winds will be Southwest at 5 to 10 mph before midnight and Southeast at 5 to 10 mph after midnight.


Tuesday will be cloudy and there will be widespread showers around. Most of the showers look to occur from about mid to late morning until about mid-afternoon. High temperatures Tuesday will be near 50 Degrees.


Wednesday: A sunny, but windy day will make for a good holiday travel day. High temperatures will be near 45 Degrees.


Thanksgiving Day Through Friday: The weather forecast guidance continues to point towards the potential for a storm to affect the area beginning on Thursday night and continuing through Friday. While it looks pretty likely that there will be a storm affecting the area, there is quite a bit of uncertainty as to what type of precipitation will fall (snow, rain or a mixture of snow and rain).


Taking a look at the weather setup for this storm reveals that a large upper level trough of low pressure will lock itself over the Northeastern United States late next week. This will lead to a cold air mass to be in place over the region as that storm is moving into the area.


The depth of the cold air and also the storm track and strength are going to be important in determining which areas of Western and Central Mass sees snow or rain.


At this point, the exact track of the storm system is uncertain and because of this what sort of precipitation falls is also uncertain. There are a few track scenarios that could occur:


The first is a low pressure system that tracks inland across northern New England which would lead to mostly all rain across the entire area.


The second scenario is for the low pressure system to track right over Southern New England leading to a light to moderate amount of snow to occur across much of the area.


A third possible storm track scenario is for that low pressure system to track well south of the area, which would leave us high and dry with no snow, but with cold weather.


My Thinking As Of Right Now Is That we’ll probably see the low pressure system track across central New England. While this would probably mean accumulating snow across Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine, it would probably mean a mixed bag of precipitation across Western and Central Mass for Thursday night and Friday.


A setup with the low pressure system tracking over Central New England would possibly mean mostly rain across areas near and south of the Mass Pike, rain mixed with snow across areas north of the Mass Pike and maybe mostly all snow for areas north of Route 2. Again, this would occur on Thursday night through Friday.


The weather during the daylight hours of Thanksgiving Day look dry, but there will be an increase in clouds throughout the day.


Obviously, this is just my thoughts as of right now and this forecast will likely change in the coming days.


High temperatures Thanksgiving Day will be near 40 Degrees. Low temperatures Thursday night will be near 35 Degrees. High temperatures Friday will be between 35 and 40 Degrees.


Thank You: As always, I thank you for your continued support. If it were not for you, I would not be able to do a job that I love so very much – forecasting the weather for Western and Central Mass. Please help us alleviate the costs required for producing these weather forecasts for Western and Central Mass by donating. Thank you so much in advance!!


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