Some Strong To Severe Thunderstorms Possible Late Sunday Afternoon & Sunday Evening

Tonight: A frontal boundary will gradually approach the area later tonight. Because of this, skies this evening will be clear with some increase in high level clouds after midnight. Low temperatures will be near 45 Degrees. Winds will be West at 8 to 16 mph. Sunday & Sunday Night: A warm front is expected to gradually push northward across Southern New England during the afternoon on Sunday. This means that skies during Sunday morning will be partly sunny with skies becoming cloudy during the afternoon. It appears that there will be two rounds of rainfall on Sunday into Sunday evening. The first round comes in the form of some scattered showers during the morning with a period of dry weather expected from about midday until about mid-afternoon or so. A second round of rainfall is expected from about mid-afternoon until about mid-evening. This round will be in the round of showers and thunderstorms with some of the thunderstorms possibly being strong to severe. The weather set up from mid to late afternoon Sunday through Sunday evening will really need to be watched closely in terms of the thunderstorm intensity. It appears that there will be enough of an unstable air mass to support some strong to severe weather. In addition, the amount of low-level wind shear also looks to be robust enough for any strong to severe storms to try to rotate. Additionally, we are expected to have a northward moving warm front combine with a pool of colder air aloft and this could spell trouble in terms of the strong to severe weather potential. The area of Western and Central Mass that may have the greatest risk for strong to severe thunderstorms will be near and especially south of the Mass Pike between about 4-5 pm Sunday afternoon and about midnight Sunday evening. Any strong to severe thunderstorms will have the capability of producing wind gusts to 40-65 mph and the possibility of a tornado or two. A cold front then pushes through the region late Sunday night ushering in some drier air. High temperatures Sunday will be between 65 and 70 Degrees. Low temperatures Sunday night will be between 55 and 60 Degrees. Winds on Sunday will be Southwest at 10 to 20 mph. Winds on Sunday night will be South at 10 to 20 mph. Monday & Tuesday both look to feature sunny to partly sunny skies. High temperatures Monday will be near 70 Degrees. High temperatures Tuesday will be between 65 and 70 Degrees. Wednesday & Thursday: Sunny to partly sunny skies are expected on both Wednesday and Thursday. High temperatures Wednesday will be near 65 Degrees. High temperatures Thursday will be between 60 and 65 Degrees. Friday Through Next Weekend: The current forecast track of Tropical Storm Ian, which is now located to the southwest of Jamaica is highly uncertain. At this point, it is unknown currently where this storm may cross the west coast of Florida around the middle part of the week. It could be anywhere between about Sarasota and Tampa northward to about Cedar Key during Thursday morning as a major hurricane. Some shameless self promotion – If you have family, friends or colleagues that live in the Florida Peninsula, have them check out our subscription service, Crown Weather Plus. It’s well worth the money for the comprehensive details you get with our updates on Tropical Storm Ian. For more information on Crown Weather Plus, just go to this link - https://crownweather.com/index.php/cws-plus/crown-weather-subscription/ . This uncertainty in the forecast track also will have implications on our weather here in Western and Central Mass for next weekend as its possible that some of the heavy rain with the remnants of Ian could affect our area next weekend. Definitely something to keep an eye on and I’ll keep you updated.