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Quick update on the expected time line of when a line of thunderstorms will push through the region with some of these storms potentially strong to severe.

At the time of this writing (3:25 pm), a line of strong to severe thunderstorms is now entering eastern New York State and is expected to move into the Berkshires by about 5 pm. From there, here is an updated time line of when storms are expected -

Pioneer Valley of Western Mass: 5:30 pm.

Western Worcester Hills & I-84 corridor: 6 pm.

I-190, I-395, Route 140 & 146 corridors & Worcester Metro: 6:30 pm.

I-495 corridor: 7 pm.

All storms look to be out of the area by 8 pm.

Since these storms will arrive a couple of hours earlier than previously forecast, it is expected that they may still have a punch to them as far east as I-495 and even 128.

This means that the thunderstorms that move through Western Mass during the 5:30-6 pm time frame and Central Mass during the 6-7 pm time frame may be strong to severe with wind gusts of up to 65 mph, frequent lightning and torrential downpours.

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For This Afternoon: Warm and humid weather is expected throughout this afternoon under a mixture of sunshine and clouds. In addition, a few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm is possible this afternoon, especially across areas north of the Mass Pike. Temperatures this afternoon will be near 75 Degrees. Winds this afternoon will be southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Tonight: Lots of clouds with perhaps some breaks in the clouds at times is expected tonight. In addition, a few showers will be possible this evening, especially across areas north of the Mass Pike. Low temperatures tonight will be near 60 Degrees. Winds tonight will be southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Monday & Monday Night: A strong cold front is expected to sweep across the region during Monday evening bringing with it a line of showers and thunderstorms between about 7 pm and 10 pm Monday evening. Before that though, the daylight hours of Monday look generally partly sunny and it’ll be warm and humid. In addition, an isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible during the afternoon. Most areas though should stay dry during the day on Monday. High temperatures Monday will be near 80 Degrees with continued humid conditions. A line of showers and thunderstorms that will be associated with the cold front is expected to push into Western Mass by about the 6 pm to 7 pm time frame Monday evening and then overspread Central Mass around the 8 to 9 pm time frame Monday evening. The question then becomes will there be strong to severe thunderstorms Monday evening. It looks as though the thunderstorms will be moving through while the sun is setting and we see the loss of the heat of the day. Because of this, I think the thunderstorms should be on a general weakening trend Monday evening, especially across Central Mass. The area that has the greatest risk for some severe thunderstorms with wind gusts of up to 55 to 65 mph will be across the Berkshires and across areas west of I-91. Along and east of I-91 and across all of Central Mass, the severe weather risk looks low and I think that the thunderstorms that do move through should be non-severe in nature. Tuesday Through Friday: A return to less humid and cooler conditions is expected once that cold front moves to the east. Tuesday and Wednesday both look sunny to partly sunny. High temperatures both days will be near 70 Degrees. Thursday looks cloudy and there may be a few showers around as a weather disturbance pushes through the area. High temperatures Thursday will be near 70 Degrees. Friday is expected to be partly sunny with high temperatures between 75 and 80 Degrees. Outlook For Next Weekend: Hot and humid weather is looking increasingly more likely for next weekend as an area of high pressure pushes off of the East Coast and puts us into a southwesterly wind flow. Saturday looks partly sunny and humid with high temperatures of 90 to 95 Degrees. Sunday also looks partly sunny and humid. Some late afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are possible. High temperatures next Sunday will be near 90 Degrees.

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For The Rest Of Today: Skies likely will become partly sunny by this afternoon and remain this way throughout this afternoon. Additionally, a few showers are possible by this evening. High temperatures today will be near 85 Degrees with humid conditions. Winds the rest of today will be southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Tonight: A round of showers are expected tonight, especially between midnight tonight and dawn on Sunday morning. Low temperatures tonight will be between 60 and 65 Degrees. Winds tonight will be southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Sunday: Some leftover showers are expected during the morning with a mixture of sunshine and clouds expected during the afternoon. It will be humid on Sunday with high temperatures between 75 and 80 Degrees. Winds on Sunday will be southwest at 5 to 10 mph. Monday: A strong cold front is expected to push eastward reaching Southern New England by Monday evening. Partly sunny skies are expected throughout the day Monday and there may be an isolated shower or two during the afternoon. High temperatures Monday will be near 80 Degrees with continued humid conditions. Showers and thunderstorms that will be associated with the cold front is expected to push into Western Mass by about the 6 pm to 8 pm time frame Monday evening and then overspread Central Mass around the 8 to 9 pm time frame Monday evening. It is possible that there may be one or two of these storms that may become strong or even severe. The reason for this is because it is expected to be plenty of warm, humid air to support thunderstorms that could become strong to severe. With that said, it’s possible that the thunderstorms may be on a weakening trend by the time they move into the area, especially across Central Mass due to the beginning of the loss of heat of the day (sunset is now at around 8:05 pm). If a couple of thunderstorms do become strong to severe, the main threat would be gusty winds of up to 50 to 60 mph and perhaps some hail. At this point, even though I think that thunderstorms are likely everywhere Monday evening, the severe weather risk looks kind of low at this point. Tuesday Through Friday: A return to less humid and cooler conditions is expected once that cold front moves to the east. Tuesday and Wednesday both look sunny to partly sunny. High temperatures both days will be near 70 Degrees. Thursday looks cloudy and there may be some scattered showers around as a weather disturbance pushes through the area. High temperatures Thursday will be near 70 Degrees. Friday is expected to be partly sunny with high temperatures near 75 Degrees. Outlook For Next Weekend: A return to heat and humidity is possible for next weekend as an area of high pressure pushes off of the East Coast and puts us into a southwesterly wind flow. Even though both next Saturday and next Sunday look partly sunny, there could be some scattered late afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms both days. High temperatures both next Saturday and next Sunday may be around 85 Degrees with humid conditions.

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