A couple of more really nice days are still on tap for the entire area as a big high pressure system stays in control of the weather. Tonight will feature clear skies with low temperatures between 45 and 50 Degrees. Winds will be Northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Thursday looks to be a bright and sunny day with high temperatures between 70 and 75 Degrees. Winds will be North at 5 to 10 mph. Friday is expected to be a sunny to partly sunny day with high temperatures between 70 and 75 Degrees. Winds are expected to shift into a Easterly direction at 5 to 10 mph. This Weekend: The weekend forecast is going to hinge heavily on the track and evolution of a tropical low pressure that is expected to move northward along the Mid-Atlantic coastline during the weekend. How the moisture and energy from this low pressure system interacts with the big high pressure system over the northeastern United States will dictate what sort of a weekend we see here in Western and Central Mass. Some of the weather forecast guidance seems to push a slug of heavy rain into our area during Saturday afternoon and Saturday night. Other weather forecast guidance seems to show the rain with that low pressure system sliding to the south and being deflected by that big high pressure system. Needless to say, not an easy forecast at all for the weekend. At this point, I’m leaning towards a more pessimistic weather forecast and because of this, I think the moisture from the Mid-Atlantic low pressure system will be able to affect our area for a good part of the weekend. My forecast for now is that I think we’ll see rain occur from Saturday afternoon through all of Saturday night and into Sunday morning. The rain then looks to end during Sunday afternoon. It should be noted that the rain will probably fall at a moderate to heavy rate at times. Rain totals this weekend could be quite hefty with amounts ranging from around one inch across areas near and north of Route 2 to between 1 and 2 inches of rainfall across areas south of Route 2, but north of the Mass Pike. Areas near and south of the Mass Pike have the potential of receiving between 2 and 3 inches of rainfall this weekend. It goes without saying that if these rainfall amounts do occur, then flash flooding could be a very significant concern across the entire area. Again, I want to emphasize that the weekend forecast is very uncertain and it’s quite likely that things will change with the forecast in the coming days.
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