For The Rest Of Today: An area of high pressure will remain in control of our weather throughout the rest of today. This means that sunny to partly sunny skies are expected throughout the rest of today with high temperatures between 35 and 39 Degrees.
Tonight Through Thursday: That high pressure system remains in control tonight through Thursday.
Tonight will be clear and once again cold across Western and Central Mass. Low temperatures tonight will be between 5 and 10 Degrees.
Thursday will be sunny to partly sunny with high temperatures between 40 and 45 Degrees.
Friday: Friday is expected to be partly sunny with high temperatures near 45 Degrees.
Long-Duration Coastal Storm Expected This Weekend: A coastal storm is likely to impact the weather across Western and Central Mass from Saturday all the way into part of Monday.
An area of low pressure is expected to develop on Saturday near Long Island. This low pressure system is now expected to track right across southern New England on Saturday night into Sunday. This forecast change in the forecast track from a strictly ocean track to one that takes it across southern New England is important because this means the rain/snow line will cut right across Western and Central Mass.
Even though this storm still has quite a bit of uncertainty with it, it is now looking increasingly more favorable that rain will fall across the lower elevations and valleys of Western and Central Mass rather than a wintry mix. In addition, it looks like only the higher elevations of far Northern Mass and Western Mass may see accumulating snow with this storm.
This forecast storm for this weekend has always had a very tenuous setup with little wiggle room in the storm track between all snow and all rain. The air mass going into this storm is going to be mild for this time of year and we needed a storm to track well to our south to pull in the colder air from the north. With the shift in the forecast track towards one that takes it directly across southern New England, it will be much more difficult to pull in that cold air & we may stay warm enough to keep the precipitation as rain. Only the higher elevations of the Berkshires and the Worcester Hills may see accumulating snow.
Here Is My Current Thinking: Rain will overspread much of Western and Central Mass during Saturday morning. The exception will be across the higher elevations of the Worcester Hills and the Berkshires where the precipitation will be snow.
Rain across the lower elevations and valleys of Western and Central Mass and snow or a rain-snow mix across the higher elevations of the Worcester Hills and the Berkshires will then continue throughout Saturday afternoon and Saturday night and it may be heavy at times.
Turning to Sunday, light rain is expected across the lower elevations and valleys of Western and Central Mass with light snow across the higher elevations of the Worcester Hills and the Berkshires. The rain may actually change to some light snow late Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening.
Any steady precipitation will taper off to scattered snow showers later Sunday night with scattered snow showers continuing into Monday.
It should be pointed out that any areas that do stay as all snow (higher elevations of the Worcester Hills and the Berkshires) may see significant snow accumulations from this storm & this will be something to keep an eye on.
Finally, there is also the possibility that the forecast track of this storm could still shift around over the next couple of days & I’ll be keeping an eye on any possible shifts back to the south.
Other Possible Storms To Keep An Eye On: The weather pattern next week into the first week of February looks active across the region. There are 3 other possible storms that may impact Western and Central Mass. The first one looks to possibly affect the area next Friday (January 31). The second storm to keep an eye on may move through around February 2nd. A third storm may then impact our area around February 6th.
At this point, there is no way to tell whether any of these storms will bring us all rain, all snow or a messy mixture of wintry precipitation. Just know that I will be keeping a very close eye on each one to see how they will affect our weather.
Thank you for reading my latest forecast for Western and Central Mass.
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