For The Rest Of Today: A south to southwest wind gusting up to 25 to 30 mph will bring milder temperatures into Western and Central Mass this afternoon. High temperatures this afternoon will be near 45 Degrees. In addition, a mixture of sunshine and clouds can be expected throughout the rest of today. A weak frontal boundary will push into northern New England this afternoon. Far northern Mass, along and north of Route 2 and Western Mass, especially along and west of I-91, may be close enough to the front so that a few showers are possible this afternoon.
Tonight: A mild night with gusty southwest winds are expected across Western and Central Mass. Skies tonight will be cloudy with temperatures rising from the lower 40s this evening to between 45 and 50 Degrees by sunrise Saturday morning. In addition, a few showers are possible tonight across Western Mass. Southwest winds will gust up to 25 to 30 mph at times tonight.
Saturday: A cold front is expected to slowly enter northern New England by late in the day Saturday. Ahead of the front, I am expecting record high temperatures Saturday in the upper 50s to near 60 Degrees. Worcester’s record high temperature Saturday is 58 Degrees set in 1924. Springfield’s record high temperature on Saturday is 58 Degrees set in 1980. Both of these record high temperatures could either be tied or broken on Saturday.
In addition to this, Saturday will be cloudy and I do think that we will see some scattered showers during the afternoon.
Saturday Night: That cold front will slowly approach our area. Skies on Saturday night will be cloudy and there will be scattered shower activity throughout the night. Widespread heavy showers and thunderstorms will push into Western Mass by about sunrise Sunday morning.
Temperatures on Saturday night will hold steady in the mid to upper 50s.
Sunday: Heavy showers with a few thunderstorms are expected during Sunday morning. Be aware that the winds will be extremely strong just above our heads at a couple of thousand feet above the ground. This is concerning because it is possible that some of these thunderstorms could pull down the stronger winds leading to the possibility for a strong or severe thunderstorm Sunday morning that could produce up to 50-60 mph wind gusts, especially between 6 am and 9 am Sunday morning.
That cold front sweeps off of the Southern New England coast by midday Sunday & thus the shower and thunderstorm activity will end by midday Sunday. Some sunshine is then possible during Sunday afternoon.
Record high temperatures are once again expected on Sunday and these will probably be set during Sunday morning. High temperatures Sunday will be near 60 Degrees during the morning with temperatures falling through the 50s during Sunday afternoon.
Worcester’s record high temperature Sunday is 59 Degrees set in 2018. Springfield’s record high temperature on Sunday is 55 Degrees set in 2017. Both of these record high temperatures could either be tied or broken on Sunday.
Monday: Monday is expected to be partly sunny with high temperatures between 40 and 45 Degrees.
Tuesday: An area of high pressure will control our weather throughout most of the day and thus I expect partly sunny skies for a majority of Tuesday. Some clouds will be on the increase by late in the day as a weak low pressure system approaches us from the southwest. High temperatures Tuesday will be near 40 Degrees.
Tuesday Night Through Wednesday: A weak area of low pressure, produced by the interaction between a piece of energy lifting out of the central United States and a stalled frontal boundary located to the south of New England, is expected to cross New England late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.
This means that some light snow can be expected on Tuesday night that changes to sleet, freezing rain and rain towards sunrise Wednesday morning. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be near 30 Degrees.
Some light freezing rain, sleet and rain is expected first thing Wednesday morning, but will end by later Wednesday morning. Cloudy skies are then expected during Wednesday afternoon. High temperatures Wednesday will be near 40 Degrees.
Wednesday Night Through Thursday: A stronger low pressure system may cross northern New England later Wednesday night and Thursday. This storm could bring a mixed bag of precipitation consisting of snow, sleet and freezing rain late Wednesday night through the day on Thursday. Low temperatures Wednesday night will be near 30 Degrees. High temperatures Thursday will be near 35 Degrees.
Cold & Snowy Weather Pattern Possible Starting Around January 20 & Continuing Through The Month Of February: There are fairly strong signals in the long range weather data that suggests that the overall weather pattern will shift to something that consists of a high pressure ridge along the West Coast of the United States and a low pressure trough that extends from the Midwest and Great Lakes into the Northeastern United States. This weather pattern may set up during the week of January 20th & remain mostly in place right through a large part of February.
What does this mean? I think that we will turn colder than average starting during the week of January 20 with colder than average temperatures possibly continuing right through much of the month of February. In addition to this, I think that there is a strong enough signal in the data to suggest that above average snowfall is possible across Western and Central Mass from late this month right through the month of February.
Finally, there is the possibility for a winter storm next weekend that really needs to be watched. This storm system is what may usher in our weather pattern change from mild to cold & potentially snowy.
So, even though some of us may be outside in t-shirts and shorts this weekend, don’t put away the snow shovels and winter weather gear, winter is far from being over.
Thank you for reading my latest forecast for Western and Central Mass.
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