For The Rest Of Today: A northwesterly wind flow will continue across the region the rest of today. This means that there will be more clouds than sunshine throughout the rest of today. High temperatures will be near 40 Degrees.
Tonight: Drier air will push into the region tonight. This means that skies will be clear to partly cloudy tonight with low temperatures near 20 Degrees.
Wednesday is expected to be sunny with high temperatures between 35 and 40 Degrees.
Wednesday Night is expected to be clear with low temperatures between 15 and 20 Degrees.
Thursday is expected to be sunny with high temperatures near 35 Degrees.
Friday looks sunny to partly sunny with high temperatures between 35 and 40 Degrees.
Possible Storm For This Weekend: There is still a high amount of uncertainty regarding a storm system that may affect our weather this weekend. While there is the potential for a strong storm system to form either near or offshore of the New England coastline, the track and how strong it gets remains highly uncertain.
The piece of energy that I am watching, which will set off this low pressure system development, is currently located over the Northern Pacific Ocean. In addition, I am also watching energy that is embedded within the southern part of the jet stream. Should these two pieces of energy remain separate, then we would probably miss out on a winter storm this weekend. On the other hand, if we see these two pieces of energy combine, it would lead to a significant winter storm this weekend across Western and Central Mass.
It needs to be emphasized that all possibilities are still on the table. This includes everything from an all rain event to a significant snow storm to nothing at all.
With all of that said, I am still skeptical that we will see anything at all from this storm. Here are my reasons why -
The first reason why I am skeptical is because of the orientation of the upper level wind flow across the United States. Right now, the weather pattern features a very fast west to east wind flow & this looks to continue throughout the rest of this week. This type of weather pattern makes it difficult for any significant storms to form as the northern and southern parts of the jet stream usually remain separate & thus any storms remain fairly weak & don’t receive the energy boost.
The second reason why I am still skeptical is because of the temperatures that will be going into the storm. It looks like temperatures will be warmer than average going into the storm & this will make it hard for it really snow across a large part of southern New England. For this to happen, the storm itself would need to create its own cold air through its energy and dynamics. For this to occur, we would need to see a pretty strong storm to develop.
Bottom Line Is That while there is still the possibility for a storm this weekend, I am still very skeptical that we will see much of a storm at all given the overall weather pattern. In the end, it would not surprise me to either a light to perhaps at the very most a moderate snowfall or a light mixed precipitation event this weekend. It also wouldn’t surprise me to see nothing at all this weekend, especially across Western Mass. This weather pattern just does not scream major winter storm to me.
Now, if (and that is a HUGE IF) there is a storm this weekend, it would occur on Saturday and Saturday night.
With that said, I am still watching things very closely and will continue to have updates for you as needed.
Thank you for reading my latest forecast for Western and Central Mass.
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