3-6" Of Snow Mon Night Into Tue Morning Followed By Ice Tue Afternoon Across Western & Central Mass

For The Rest Of Today: Steady rain will continue to taper off to scattered rain showers through midday. During this afternoon, scattered rain showers are expected across Western and Central Mass.

High temperatures this afternoon will range from 46 to 51 Degrees.

Tonight: Any leftover scattered rain showers will come to an end this evening with skies remaining cloudy throughout the rest of tonight. The main story tonight, however, will be the strong winds. West to Southwest winds are expected to gust up to 40 mph at times throughout tonight.

Low temperatures tonight will be between 35 and 40 Degrees.

Sunday: Sunday is expected to feature a mixture of some sun and lots of clouds in the morning with increasing sunshine during the afternoon. It will be windy on Sunday with west winds gusting up to 40 mph at times.

High temperatures Sunday will be between 40 and 45 Degrees.

Monday: After a sunny start to the day, clouds will be on the increase throughout the rest of the day as an area of low pressure approaches us from the southwest.

High temperatures Monday will be near 35 Degrees.

3 To 6 Inches Of Snow Accumulation Monday Night Into Tuesday Morning Followed By Ice Tuesday Afternoon Across Western & Central Mass: An area of low pressure is expected to move near the coast of Southern New England late Monday night and Tuesday.

Snow is expected to reach the Mass Pike between about 9 pm and 11 pm Monday evening and then overspread the rest of Western and Central Mass around midnight Monday night.

The snow is expected to continue throughout the rest of Monday night across the entire area.

A changeover from snow to freezing rain and sleet is expected to occur from south to north during Tuesday morning. The changeover line from snow to freezing rain/sleet is forecast to reach the Mass Pike between 8 am and 10 am Tuesday morning and then potentially reach as far north as Route 2 by early Tuesday afternoon.

During Tuesday afternoon, I think that snow will continue across the Berkshires, the far upper parts of the Pioneer Valley of Western Mass and across northernmost Worcester County. Across the rest of Western and Central Mass, I think that we may see freezing rain and sleet continue throughout Tuesday afternoon before coming to an end as light snow Tuesday evening.

Some Thoughts About This Storm & What I Will Be Watching For: I do have concerns that the weather forecast guidance I look at may be too warm & may be forecasting more ice than what may actually occur. The reason why I think this is because I have noticed so far this month that the guidance has been forecasting a warmer atmospheric temperature profile than what actually occurred during storms. This has led to erroneously lower than observed snowfall forecasts by the guidance. This occurred with our major storm at the beginning of the month & it occurred again back on Tuesday night.

So, this leads me to wonder if we may end up with more snow than what the guidance is forecasting, which is between 2 and 4 inches. I also wonder if we end up with much less ice than what is being shown on the weather forecast guidance, which is in the neighborhood of one quarter (0.25”) to one half (0.50”) of an inch.

My First Call On Forecast Snow/Ice Amounts For Monday Night & Tuesday Can Be Found With The Map Below. Be aware that these snow amounts and ice amounts may change over the next day or so, especially if we end up with more snow than ice with this storm.

I am watching this storm closely and will keep you all updated.

Thank you for reading my latest forecast for Western and Central Mass.

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