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At the time of this writing (12:30 pm), snow has begun across southwestern Connecticut and the leading edge of this snowfall is progressing to the northeast. It is expected that snow will begin across Western Mass by 2 to 3 pm. The snow will then begin across Central Mass by 3 to 4 pm this afternoon. Once the snow begins, it should come down at a fairly quick rate on the order of around one-half of an inch per hour from late this afternoon through this evening before it lightens up in intensity by about midnight tonight. Intermittent light snow is then expected to continue into at least part of the day Wednesday before it finally comes to an end by Wednesday night. Total Snow Accumulations: It still appears that 3 to 4 inches of snow accumulation can be expected. Most of that snow is expected to accumulate between late afternoon today and midnight tonight. Road conditions are likely to be slippery during the last half of this afternoon through a majority of tonight. So, use care when traveling later this afternoon and tonight. The Next Chance For Snow looks to be on Sunday night and Monday as an area of low pressure takes shape to the south of Long Island and heads for the Cape and then towards Nova Scotia. The track of this storm will be crucial in determining how much snow accumulates across the region. Some of the weather forecast guidance are showing a moderate snowfall on the order of 3 to 6 inches. Other weather forecast guidance are showing quite the large snowstorm with a foot or more possible, especially across Central Mass. At this point, I’m leaning more towards the moderate type snowfall accumulations, but I’m not at all ruling out a much heavier snowfall. So, as I already mentioned snow looks quite likely across Western and Central Mass throughout Sunday night and Monday with the snow ending late Monday afternoon or Monday evening. Overall, my thinking is for a 3 to 6 inch snowfall across the region with perhaps up to 8 inches possible across Central Mass. Again, this is a early call and the forecast of this snowfall is very likely to undergo changes in the coming days, so stay tuned.

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This Afternoon Through Tonight: An area of high pressure will continue to control our weather this afternoon and tonight. This means that lots of sunshine can be expected this afternoon with temperatures around 30 Degrees. Clear to partly cloudy skies are expected tonight with low temperatures near 15 Degrees. 3 To 4 Inches Of Snow Accumulation Expected From Late Tuesday Afternoon To Thursday Morning: Snow is expected across the entire area starting late Tuesday afternoon and continuing through Tuesday night, Wednesday, Wednesday night and even Thursday morning. Most of the snow accumulation on the order of 3 to 4 inches is expected during Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. An area of low pressure is expected to head northeastward across the upper Ohio Valley into western New York State on Tuesday before heading into northern New England late Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will lead to a warm front being pulled across the region leading to accumulating snow across the entire area. It should be noted that this entire weather feature looks a bit stronger than what was previously thought. Snow is expected to overspread Western Mass between 3 and 5 pm and then move into Central Mass between 4 and 6 pm Tuesday. Snow is then expected to continue through all of Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Light intermittent snow is then expected throughout Wednesday afternoon and even Wednesday night as a trough of low pressure extends back into the region. In addition, there is the possibility that some light snow could continue for a while on Thursday morning before finally coming to an end. As for snow accumulations, it appears that 3 to 4 inches of accumulation is expected by the time the snow is finished on Thursday morning after starting on late Tuesday afternoon. Again, a majority of that accumulation is expected to occur in about a 12 to 15 hour period during Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. High temperatures Tuesday will be between 30 and 35 Degrees. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be between 25 and 30 Degrees. High temperatures Wednesday will be between 30 and 35 Degrees. Low temperatures Wednesday night will be near 25 Degrees. High temperatures Thursday will be near 30 Degrees.

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This Afternoon: An area of high pressure will continue to control our weather this afternoon. This means that lots of sunshine can be expected along with cold & windy conditions. Temperatures this afternoon will be in the mid 20s. Northwest winds will gust up to 30 to 35 mph at times leading to wind chill temperatures of around 10 Degrees. Tonight Through Monday: High pressure remains the predominant weather feature for tonight and Monday. Tonight will be clear to partly cloudy with low temperatures between 10 and 15 Degrees. Monday is expected to be sunny with high temperatures between 30 and 35 Degrees. Light Snow Expected Tuesday Afternoon & Tuesday Night:A weakening warm front is expected to lift across the area Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. This frontal boundary is likely to bring light snow to the entire area beginning Tuesday afternoon and continuing through Tuesday night. At this point, it appears that light snow will overspread Western Mass between 2 and 4 pm and then move into Central Mass between 4 and 6 pm Tuesday. Light snow is then expected to continue through Tuesday night before gradually coming to an end on Wednesday morning. As for snow accumulations, it appears that 1 to 3 inches of accumulation looks likely during Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. High temperatures Tuesday will be between 30 and 35 Degrees. Low temperatures Tuesday night will be near 25 Degrees. Wednesday & Wednesday Night: Light snow may continue for a while Wednesday morning before ending. Skies are then expected to be cloudy during Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. High temperatures Wednesday will be near 35 Degrees. Low temperatures Wednesday night will be near 25 Degrees. Thursday & Thursday Night: A powerful storm system is expected to form off of the Virginia and North Carolina coast during Thursday and Thursday night and head out to sea. It appears that this storm will remain too far south to impact our area with snow. I do think that, however, it will be close enough for it to bring us cloudy and windy weather, especially on Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. Thursday is expected to be cloudy and it will become windy during the afternoon. High temperatures Thursday will be near 35 Degrees. Thursday night will be cloudy and windy with low temperatures between 15 and 20 Degrees. Friday Through Saturday:Cold and windy weather is expected from Friday through Saturday even though it will be sunny during the day and clear at night. Friday will be sunny, cold and windy with high temperatures near 25 Degrees. Northwest winds are expected to gust up to 40 mph with wind chill temperatures near 10 Degrees. Friday night will be clear, bitterly cold and windy with low temperatures near 10 Degrees. Northwest winds will gust up to 40 mph. Wind chill temperatures of 5 to 15 below zero are expected on Friday night. Saturday will be sunny, cold and windy. High temperatures will be near 30 Degrees. Northwest winds are expected to gust up to 30 to 40 mph. Wind chill temperatures on Saturday will be near 10 Degrees. Snow Possible Next Monday Into Next Tuesday: There’s the potential for a low pressure system to move along the coast of Southern New England next Monday into next Tuesday. This could be a storm to really keep an eye on as it could bring enough snow to plow across the entire area. Obviously, it is way too soon to get into any specific details, but it appears that snow may occur across the entire area beginning around midday next Monday and then continuing right through next Monday night and next Tuesday morning. As I said, there could be enough snow to plow across the area (at least 3 to 6 inches of accumulation). It’s a system that I will be keeping a close eye on and will keep you updated.

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